This website requires Javascript to function properly. Please go to the setting of your web browser and enable Javascript for this website.

Ad by

最优利率和cashback可以申请特批，好信用好收入offer更好。请点链接扫码加微信咨询，Scotiabank -- Nick Zhang 6478812600。

Ad by

最优利率和cashback可以申请特批，好信用好收入offer更好。请点链接扫码加微信咨询，Scotiabank -- Nick Zhang 6478812600。

我前几天预测央行明年3月减息，今天yahoo finance头版说明年4月减息。无论3月还是4月减息，房价并不一定涨，但至少可以避免房市崩溃，尤其condo市场的爆雷。但更大的问题是商业建房，已经岌岌可危，不救不行。

allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论)

OTTAWA (Reuters) -Canadian market participants expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to start cutting its key policy rate from a 22-year high of 5.00% in April 2024, a month later than the previous forecast, according to a survey released by the central bank on Monday. The survey showed a median of 27 financial participants expect interest rates to drop to 4.00% in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from an expectation of 3.50% in the previous survey released in July. The survey was conducted from Sept. 20-28 - before official data showed Canada's annual inflation rate unexpectedly slowed to 3.8% in September and the economy likely slipped into a shallow recession in the third quarter.

Full Story:
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-market-participants-see-rates-153914765.html

(#15759110@0)
Last Updated: 2023-11-6
This post has been archived. It cannot be replied.

Report

Replies, comments and Discussions:

枫下家园 / 枫下觅巢 /
tor
Toronto Area

我前几天预测央行明年3月减息，今天yahoo finance头版说明年4月减息。无论3月还是4月减息，房价并不一定涨，但至少可以避免房市崩溃，尤其condo市场的爆雷。但更大的问题是商业建房，已经岌岌可危，不救不行。 -allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论); 2023-11-6 {1111} (#15759110@0) +1

OTTAWA (Reuters) -Canadian market participants expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to start cutting its key policy rate from a 22-year high of 5.00% in April 2024, a month later than the previous forecast, according to a survey released by the central bank on Monday. The survey showed a median of 27 financial participants expect interest rates to drop to 4.00% in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from an expectation of 3.50% in the previous survey released in July. The survey was conducted from Sept. 20-28 - before official data showed Canada's annual inflation rate unexpectedly slowed to 3.8% in September and the economy likely slipped into a shallow recession in the third quarter.

Full Story:
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-market-participants-see-rates-153914765.html

挺住 -jtax(吾土吾民-略过匿名贴); 2023-11-6 {12} (#15759182@0) +1
老鲍点头了？

是的，近期想买房的或许应该挺到明年3、4月份再挂出。 -allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论); 2023-11-6 {28} (#15759192@0) +2
加拿大大概率会早于美国减息。

我觉得住宅还好，毕竟人都是要住的。但是商业地产不看好，都WFH，即使政府努力把人赶回办公室，最多恢复50%。过几年，等商业地产lease renewal的时候，就看出来了。 -newyearpig(lazy); 2023-11-6 (#15759203@0) +3

现在金融机构裁员，等裁到办公室都能坐得下后就会让大家回去上班 -jtax(吾土吾民-略过匿名贴); 2023-11-6 (#15759207@0) +1

不回去上班就裁掉。。。银行职员WHF，效率很低，公司也不傻。在家办公，不就是摸鱼嘛。。。大公司政府，裁掉一半，完全不影响工作。。。 -newyearpig(lazy); 2023-11-6 (#15759216@0)
有没有什么消息？明年会恢复一周至少三天回办公室？ -allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论); 2023-11-6 (#15759218@0)

大家都明白在家办公的效率，资本家不傻。预计未来会很多裁员，WFH都可以裁掉。不信，明年这时候再看。 -newyearpig(lazy); 2023-11-6 (#15759233@0)

吾土在银行任职，想问问他有什么内幕消息。 -allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论); 2023-11-6 (#15759243@0)

是的，商业地产目前看不到任何活路，好像政府很怕这块爆雷，但又无能为力。 -allpurpose(AP用户-仅限理性讨论); 2023-11-6 (#15759214@0)
Warehouse 和industrial 的怎样？前两年买的人今年卖出的都赚了一倍多了。再早些买的，都翻了4倍了。 -pockymeimei(00); 2023-11-6 (#15759460@0)

术业有专攻、买warehouse的本来就不是为了屯warehouse去买的、肯定是要用warehouse来产生现金流的，工业地产除非你是实际用、不然别碰 -xiangcaosh(船头); 2023-11-7 (#15759482@0)

还别说。我还真认识不少人买来就是纯出租投资的。 -pockymeimei(00); 2023-11-7 (#15760548@0)

所以说别跟风，机会很多。 -newyearpig(lazy); 2023-11-7 (#15760631@0)

除非你做实业，否则千万别碰工业地。温哥华不少华人买仓库出租给集运公司，但挣钱不挣钱就不好说了，好处没人赖租，坏处嘛，就是回报率 -eleclan(eleclan); 2023-11-7 (#15760613@0)

想想就麻烦。但最近几年，很火。 -newyearpig(lazy); 2023-11-7 (#15760632@0)

不一定哦，刚刚澳洲央行才加的息，6月以来首次 -biglake(我不吃晚饭已经很久了); 2023-11-7 (#15760692@0) +1
央行利率政策不会指向某个行业，应该是整个经济层面的考虑。 -straw0910(linda); 2023-11-8 (#15760808@0) +1
最好能够软着陆，避免大的社会动荡。 -oven0001(oven); 2023-11-8 (#15761194@0)

软着陆美国或许还可能，加拿大悬 -jtax(吾土吾民-略过匿名贴); 2023-11-8 (#15761709@0) +1

央行又吵起来要加息了，这次黑天鹅很肥，要压死很多廋骆驼啦。 -forest0(蓝色土耳其); 2023-11-8 (#15761812@0) +1

@Philadelphia

我前几天预测央行明年3月减息，今天yahoo finance头版说明年4月减息。无论3月还是4月减息，房价并不一定涨，但至少可以避免房市崩溃，尤其condo市场的爆雷。但更大的问题是商业建房，已经岌岌可危，不救不行。

Replies, comments and Discussions:

More Topics