This website requires Javascript to function properly. Please go to the setting of your web browser and enable Javascript for this website.

Ad by

Ad by

Canada CPI Preview: Forecasts from five major banks, better inflation, but not yet good enough

daofaziran(daofaziran)

(#15555968@0)
Last Updated: 2023-7-17
This post has been archived. It cannot be replied.

Report

枫下家园 / 枫下觅巢 /
tor
Toronto Area

明天要出CPI数据了，大家说通胀会不会降到3%以下？我半年前预测的 -rockall(we will, we will); 2023-7-17 (#15555797@0) +3

我觉得正好相反。同比会低于3%，环比高些，月率0.3%，合年率3.6% -rockall(we will, we will); 2023-7-17 (#15555882@0)

我只是感觉都会跟美国差不多，美国就是我说的情况。 -czczcz(看得清); 2023-7-18 (#15556127@0)
通胀早就cool down了，现在的通涨就是加息的恶果，是利息通胀。现在加息的理由很无耻的，跟滥发钱一样无耻。 -dontknowa(dontknow); 2023-7-18 (#15556190@0) +6

Canada CPI Preview: Forecasts from five major banks, better inflation, but not yet good enough -daofaziran(daofaziran); 2023-7-17 {521} (#15555968@0) +1

Full Story:
https://www.fxstreet.com/news/canada-cpi-preview-forecasts-from-five-major-banks-better-inflation-but-not-yet-good-enough-202307171346
有啥意义？比如去年一下子涨了10%后，即使现在降到了3%，也是比前年高出一大截子，现在必须连续几年变为-3%可能才有意义啊 -guanshui88(约定); 2023-7-17 (#15556090@0) +6

对，干脆连续几个-50%回到上世纪的物价水平才有意义 -rockall(we will, we will); 2023-7-17 (#15556094@0) +1
去年通胀8%-10%，很多人都感觉到生活水准下降了。降到3%就不会了。 -geekcode(文心雕码); 2023-7-17 (#15556101@0) +3
真阴损呐，盼跌这就是为买房不惜让我们走上通缩萧条之路。中国已经在路上了，你是想让全世界也成为第二个日本失去二十年。 -dontknowa(dontknow); 2023-7-18 (#15556187@0) +1

这个可能性确实是有的，现在的加息决定基本上与通胀没什么关系。 -okee-dokee(老实巴交); 2023-7-17 (#15556104@0)
明天看看 -g_g_g(饺子没有了); 2023-7-18 (#15556169@0)
钱都跑回房市，股市里了。这一轮通胀就算过去了。 -xz730000(笑一笑，十年少); 2023-7-18 (#15556191@0)
降到多少，只要大于零也是涨了，最多就是到了一个新的平衡而已。如果工资跟不上，消费无法提上来，弄不好，会走到通缩了 -x2y(xfer); 2023-7-18 (#15556208@0) +1
2.8%! -rockall(we will, we will); 2023-7-18 (#15556286@0) +5

厉害👍. 不过央行目前的加息决定跟通胀已经没有关系，主要是看美国，7月加息是因为已经比美国少加了2次。 -okee-dokee(老实巴交); 2023-7-18 (#15556430@0)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.8% year over year in June, -**🚗; 2023-7-18 {542} (#15556318@0)
following a 3.4% increase in May. While deceleration was fairly broad-based, another base-year effect in gasoline prices led the slowdown in the CPI. Excluding gasoline, headline inflation would have been 4.0% in June, following a 4.4% increase in May.
Canadians continued to see elevated grocery prices (+9.1%) and mortgage interest costs (+30.1%) in June, with those indexes contributing the most to the headline CPI increase. The all-items excluding food index rose 1.7% and the all-items excluding mortgage interest cost index rose 2.0%.

食品价格的惯性总是最大 -rockall(we will, we will); 2023-7-18 (#15556354@0)
mortgage interest costs (+30.1%) 增长最快又是大头，要解决这个问题就要降息了 -nodream(～～～); 2023-7-18 (#15556366@0) +1

把这个作为大头来作为通胀的依据就是个大笑话，cpi就应该剔除mortgage interest costs这项。 -czczcz(看得清); 2023-7-18 (#15556426@0) +3

逻辑。。加息是打通胀的但利息反而推高通胀，同比就是跟一年前比，跟再远的过去比没意义，要是跟前年比为啥不跟10年前比？。 -czczcz(看得清); 2023-7-19 (#15558854@0)

怀疑grocery的上涨有垄断集团的操控. 前几个星期，就有loblaw等几个面包寡头操纵价格的丑闻被判决的. -fallcolor999(下一站); 2023-7-18 (#15556531@0) +4